Bitcoin's Price Drop Fuels Bear Market Concerns

Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a significant dip on Tuesday, falling below the $99,000 mark. This decline has reignited the debate surrounding the cryptocurrency's market state and whether a bear market is imminent.

Breaching the 365-Day Moving Average

According to Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant, Bitcoin's price breached the 365-day moving average (MA). He considers this a potential confirmation of a bear market's onset, emphasizing the importance of a swift recovery above this level.

Technical Perspective on the Downturn

The 365-day MA is a technical indicator that tracks Bitcoin's average price over the past year, helping to identify market trends. Falling below this MA is often seen as a bearish signal.

Correction or Bear Market?

Despite the drop, some analysts believe this is merely a correction within a larger bull market, rather than the start of a prolonged bear market. They point to historical data showing a potential 40% rebound within 60 days after similar drawdowns.

Key Support Levels to Watch

Analysts are highlighting the $100,000 level as a critical line of defense. A sustained break below this level could signal a deeper shift towards a bear market. However, as long as this level holds, the possibility of a year-end rally remains.

Macroeconomic Influences

Bitcoin's performance remains closely tied to macroeconomic events, including upcoming decisions from President Trump and the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in December.


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