Hyperliquid Token Unlock Raises Concerns

The upcoming $314 million Hyperliquid token unlock on Saturday is placing the perpetuals decentralized exchange (DEX) under increased scrutiny, specifically regarding its tokenomics. A prominent community member has voiced the need for more transparent communication concerning the management of the core contributor token allocation.

Unlock Details

Data from Tokenomist indicates that Hyperliquid will release 9.92 million HYPE tokens, representing 2.66% of the total supply. At the current market price, these tokens are valued at approximately $314 million. The HYPE tokens will be released in a single, 'cliff unlock'.

Community Concerns Voiced

The unlock event has sparked considerable discussion among HYPE holders, with one X user, Andy, publishing an open letter urging the Hyperliquid team to address the community prior to the unlock. Currently, HYPE is trading at $31, reflecting a 23% decline over the past month. Andy stated, "The team and airdrop recipients finally able to sell is going to ruffle feathers until you address the community head on. The entire market has PTSD from the destruction on charts of VC-backed vapor."

Arthur Hayes' Warning

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, has issued a stark warning, suggesting that the impending unlock will inevitably introduce selling pressure on the token. He emphasized that assurances from within the team cannot entirely mitigate the inherent uncertainty. "Even if the team pinky swears to not sell, there is nothing holding them to that. So you have to assume a >0% amount of daily sell pressure," Hayes wrote. He also pointed to a substantial decrease in Hyperliquid's price-to-fully diluted valuation (FDV) ratio since July, interpreting it as evidence that traders are already factoring in the potential dilution risk, unless revenue growth significantly outpaces the increase in supply.

Diverging Opinions

While some community members are advocating for increased transparency, others contend that the Hyperliquid team is not obligated to disclose their plans for the unlocked tokens. One X user argued that providing information regarding the allocation size and timing was "sufficient," and that the team has the right to make internal decisions about the tokens. A contrasting view came from another community member who criticized the open letter, labeling it as "desperation" and indicative of "borrowed conviction." They argued that the Hyperliquid team members have "definitely earned" their tokens.

Perpetual DEX Performance

Despite the broader downturn in the cryptocurrency market, perpetual DEXs have maintained consistent daily trading volumes, ranging from $28 billion to $60 billion, according to data from DefiLlama. The top four perpetual DEXs – Lighter, Aster, Hyperliquid, and edgeX – collectively recorded over $1 trillion in trading volume in the last 30 days. Lighter led with $300 billion, followed by Aster with $289 billion. Hyperliquid ranked third with a $259 billion volume, while edgeX reported $177 billion in the same period.

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