Friday Nov 21 2025 00:00
2 min
At 21:30 Beijing time on Thursday, the US Non-Farm Payrolls data for September was released, revealing that the US economy added 119,000 jobs, surpassing the expected 50,000. This is the largest increase since April. However, the unemployment rate rose to 4.4%, exceeding the expected 4.3%.
Key Takeaways:
Prior Data Revisions: Job figures for July and August were revised downwards. The revisions showed that the economy added 72,000 jobs in July (instead of 79,000) and lost 4,000 jobs in August (instead of adding 22,000).
Gold initially fell after the data release, then recovered some of its losses. Non-US currencies also saw a slight increase. However, the overall impact was limited as the market remains focused on inflation and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
Markets continue to expect the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in December. However, the mixed data adds to the uncertainty surrounding the path of monetary policy in the coming months.
The healthcare sector saw a strong increase in jobs, as did restaurants. In contrast, the transportation and warehousing sector and the manufacturing sector saw a decrease in jobs.
Analysts noted that the slowing pace of wage growth is a concern as it could lead to a slowdown in overall labor income. However, some believe that the rising unemployment rate may leave the door open for future interest rate cuts.
Conclusion: The Non-Farm Payrolls data for September presented a mixed picture of the US economy. While job growth was stronger than expected, the rising unemployment rate and slowing wage growth raise questions about the resilience of the labor market. Markets will closely monitor upcoming data to assess the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path.
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