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Monday Aug 24 2026 02:35
5 min

Gold prices extended their rally on Monday, August 24, climbing above $4,620 per ounce as concerns about rising US government debt and possible currency debasement continued to pressure the dollar.
At the time of writing, XAU/USD was trading near $4,628.20, compared with Friday’s close of $4,604.09. Gold had moved within an intraday range of approximately $4,595.65–$4,640.89, leaving the market close to its highest level since mid-May. Prices may change after publication.
Gold entered the new week with strong momentum after gaining around 5% last week. The metal briefly reached $4,632.14 on Friday before holding above the psychologically important $4,600 level into the weekly close.
Monday’s advance pushed gold towards a fresh three-month high. The metal has now risen from around $4,000 in mid-July to above $4,600, reversing much of the weakness recorded during June and early July.
Gold is up more than 14% so far in August. If the gain is maintained through the end of the month, August would represent the metal’s largest monthly percentage increase on record.
The latest gold rally accelerated after the US Treasury announced that it would at least double its buybacks of long-dated government bonds. Purchases at the long end of the Treasury market will rise to as much as $4 billion per operation.
Although the amount remains relatively small compared with the roughly $32 trillion Treasury market, the intervention has raised questions about why the government is attempting to contain long-term borrowing costs.
Investors are increasingly concerned that expanding Treasury buybacks could blur the line between improving bond-market liquidity and suppressing yields amid mounting fiscal pressure. Those concerns have revived the “debasement trade”, in which traders favour scarce assets such as gold and Bitcoin when confidence in the purchasing power of traditional currencies declines.
The US Dollar Index fell 0.8% last week and was trading near multi-month lows on Monday. Because gold is denominated in dollars, a weaker US currency generally makes the metal less expensive for buyers using other currencies.
Gold’s recovery also reflects renewed unease about US government borrowing and fiscal credibility. Despite the Treasury’s intervention, the 30-year US yield remained around 5.28%, close to its recent 19-year peak of 5.34%.
Normally, higher bond yields can pressure gold because the metal does not generate interest. However, the latest rise in yields has been accompanied by concerns about government debt rather than confidence in stronger economic growth alone.
That distinction has helped gold regain some of its traditional safe-haven appeal. Investors appear to be treating rising long-term borrowing costs as a warning about fiscal sustainability, increasing demand for assets that are not directly tied to a government or currency issuer.
Gold’s rebound from around $4,000 in July to current levels reflects stronger investment demand and worries that greater government intervention in the bond market could weaken the dollar over time.
The next major test for gold may come from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s speech at Jackson Hole on Friday. Markets currently assign approximately a 40% probability to a September interest-rate increase, while another move is fully priced by December.
Upcoming US inflation figures could alter those expectations. Core inflation is forecast to remain at 3.3% in July, highlighting the continuing tension between softer economic indicators and inflationary pressure from energy prices.
A more hawkish Fed message could lift the dollar and Treasury yields, potentially slowing gold’s advance. Conversely, any indication that policymakers are reluctant to raise rates could reinforce demand for the metal.
Geopolitical developments are another source of volatility. Markets are awaiting details of new US sanctions against Iran, including whether measures will target countries buying Iranian oil. An escalation could support gold through safe-haven demand, but a sharp increase in oil prices could also strengthen inflation expectations and encourage the Fed to maintain restrictive monetary policy.
Gold’s short-term trend remains constructive while XAU/USD holds above the $4,600 breakout area. A sustained move above Monday’s intraday high near $4,641 would place the $4,675–$4,700 region in focus.
The daily Relative Strength Index has risen above 70, however, signalling that the market has entered overbought territory. This does not automatically mean the rally will reverse, but it increases the possibility of profit-taking or consolidation after August’s rapid advance.
Immediate support sits around $4,600, followed by Friday’s breakout region near $4,550. The 100-day simple moving average, currently around $4,379, represents a deeper technical support level if the dollar rebounds or bond yields rise sharply.
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