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Wednesday Nov 19 2025 09:10
2 min
Last week's market focus was on digesting the abrupt repricing of December rate cut expectations, plummeting from ~70% to 42%. The market reacted swiftly, with risk assets softening and crypto being among the hardest hit.
Crypto has underperformed equity markets since early summer. Bitcoin and Ethereum have performed worse than altcoins, partly driven by strength in certain sectors like privacy coins.
Performance was generally negative, with the GMCI-30 index down 12%. AI, DePIN, Gaming, and Memes led the decliners. Even more resilient categories like L1s, L2s, and DeFi saw widespread weakness.
Bitcoin dipped below the $10,000 mark again, a level not seen since May. The pressure was partly due to whales reducing holdings, a seasonal trend that started early this year.
The repricing of interest rate cut expectations was the main driver behind the market correction. After Fed Chair Powell walked back the virtually-certain December rate cut, US traders began to dissect the views of FOMC members more deeply.
The macro environment still supports the market, and position adjustments have cleared the market. However, stabilizing sentiment still requires strong performance from major coins.
The key takeaway is that this correction was driven by macro factors, not a structural breakdown. With positions cleared and US-led pressure understood, the outlook remains constructive.
The next catalyst is most likely to come from policies and interest rate expectations. Once major coins regain momentum, a broader market recovery can be expected.
Risk Warning: This article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, investment research, or a recommendation to trade. The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of Markets.com. When considering shares, indices, forex (foreign exchange), and commodities for trading and price predictions, remember that trading CFDs involves a significant degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leveraged products can result in capital loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Before trading, ensure you fully understand the risks involved and consider your investment objectives and level of experience. Cryptocurrency CFD trading restrictions may apply depending on jurisdiction.
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