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Tuesday Aug 18 2026 02:56
6 min

The Bitcoin price today edged lower as investors reduced exposure to risk-sensitive assets. BTC traded near $64,140, down approximately 0.5%, after briefly reaching an intraday high close to $64,400 during the Asian session.
The decline erased part of Monday’s advance and showed that buyers are still struggling to establish a sustained recovery above the $64,000 area. Bitcoin has moved through this level several times in recent sessions, but each rebound has met renewed selling pressure before reaching the psychologically important $65,000 threshold.
The latest move occurred against a mixed global market backdrop. Asian equities produced uneven results, while the previous Wall Street session ended with losses for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq following weaker US retail sales data. Oil prices and government bond yields also climbed as renewed US-Iran tensions added uncertainty to the economic outlook.
Bitcoin’s inability to extend its early gains suggests that traders remain cautious despite the cryptocurrency holding above $64,000. Thin liquidity and limited institutional demand have restricted several recent recovery attempts, even when softer US inflation data has supported expectations that the Federal Reserve will avoid another immediate interest-rate increase.
Bitcoin’s decline contrasted with another positive session for gold. Spot gold advanced approximately 0.2% to $4,424 per ounce, marking its third consecutive session of gains. A weaker US dollar, softer economic data and renewed geopolitical concerns supported demand for the precious metal. Gold’s latest advance also reflected expectations that the Federal Reserve could leave interest rates unchanged through the end of the year.
The divergence highlights the different roles Bitcoin and gold can play during periods of uncertainty. Bitcoin is sometimes described as “digital gold”, but its short-term price behaviour frequently resembles that of technology shares and other speculative assets. When investors reduce portfolio risk, Bitcoin can therefore decline even as demand for physical gold strengthens.
Geopolitical conditions added to the defensive tone. The expiration of a US-Iran ceasefire pushed Brent crude above $91 per barrel, while the US 10-year Treasury yield rose to approximately 4.73%. The 30-year yield reached around 5.31%, its highest level in two decades. Rising oil prices and bond yields can weigh on Bitcoin by tightening financial conditions and increasing the relative appeal of interest-bearing assets.
Higher energy prices may also complicate the inflation outlook. If expensive oil prevents inflation from cooling further, the Federal Reserve could have less room to loosen monetary policy. That would potentially limit liquidity available for cryptocurrencies and other higher-volatility markets.
Bitcoin’s technical picture remains cautious. The market update accompanying the price move assigned a “Strong Sell” rating across multiple timeframes, with BTC trading beneath several widely followed moving averages. Such automated ratings can change quickly and vary between platforms, but the wider price structure still shows that Bitcoin has not completed a convincing bullish reversal.
The immediate resistance area sits between the Asian-session high near $64,400 and the psychological $65,000 level. Bitcoin would need to break and remain above this zone to indicate that buyers are regaining short-term control.
A sustained move above $65,000 could bring the upper part of the recent trading range back into focus. However, repeated rejection below that level would suggest the latest rise remains a corrective rebound within a broader downtrend. Recent market analysis has identified approximately $62,500 as an important support area, while the wider resistance zone extends from $65,000 towards $70,000. Bitcoin remains below key moving averages, making confirmation from closing prices and trading volume particularly important.
On the downside, $64,000 is the first level to monitor. A clear loss of this threshold could return attention to $63,000 and then the $62,500 support zone. If sellers push Bitcoin below that range, the risk of a deeper move towards $60,000 could increase.
The market could remain volatile around these levels because leveraged positions can amplify relatively small price movements. A move through a widely watched support or resistance level may trigger liquidations, causing BTC to travel further than the initial change in market sentiment would otherwise suggest.
The cryptocurrency market is also dealing with a less supportive regulatory backdrop. Sentiment weakened earlier in August after the US Securities and Exchange Commission cancelled a meeting expected to address proposed cryptocurrency rules.
The US Senate also entered its August recess without advancing the Clarity Act, delaying progress on legislation intended to establish a clearer market structure for digital assets. These developments do not directly determine Bitcoin’s daily price, but they have reduced expectations for an immediate improvement in the US regulatory environment. Bitcoin and crypto-related shares recently declined following the delays.
Institutional flows remain another important factor. Strong inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds can help absorb selling pressure, while sustained outflows may make it harder for BTC to break above resistance. Traders will therefore monitor whether institutional demand strengthens if Bitcoin makes another attempt to clear $65,000.
The release of the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes is likely to be the next major macroeconomic catalyst. Traders will look for evidence that policymakers are becoming more concerned about slowing employment and consumer demand, as well as any indication that higher oil prices could alter the inflation outlook.
Bitcoin may receive support if bond yields retreat, the dollar weakens further and demand for risk assets improves. Conversely, another rise in Treasury yields or an escalation in Middle East tensions could reinforce the current risk-off environment.
From a price perspective, the contest remains centred on $62,500–$65,000. A confirmed break above $65,000 would improve short-term momentum, while a move below $62,500 would strengthen the bearish case. Until either boundary gives way, Bitcoin may continue to trade unevenly within its recent range.
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